Why Are Discouraged Workers Not Included In The Unemployment Rate

The unemployment rate is a key economic indicator, often cited as a measure of a country’s economic health. However, this seemingly straightforward number hides a complex reality. One of the most significant omissions in its calculation is the exclusion of discouraged workers. Understanding Why Are Discouraged Workers Not Included In The Unemployment Rate is crucial for a more accurate assessment of the labor market’s true condition. Their absence from the official figures can paint a misleadingly rosy picture, obscuring the challenges faced by many who want to work but have given up actively searching.

The Official Definition and the Discouraged Worker Dilemma

The unemployment rate, as defined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in the United States, is calculated by dividing the number of unemployed people by the number of people in the labor force. The labor force includes those who are employed and those who are unemployed but actively seeking work. This “actively seeking work” part is where discouraged workers get excluded. To be counted as unemployed, a person must:

  • Be jobless
  • Be available to work
  • Have actively looked for work in the prior 4 weeks

Discouraged workers, on the other hand, are those who are not currently looking for work specifically because they believe no jobs are available for them. This belief might stem from various factors, such as a lack of suitable skills, age discrimination, or simply a prolonged period of unsuccessful job searching. The key reason they are excluded is because they are not actively seeking employment. Because they aren’t seeking, they are not part of the labor force, and if they are not part of the labor force, they cannot be considered unemployed.

This exclusion has significant implications. For instance, during periods of economic recession, the number of discouraged workers tends to increase. As people lose their jobs and struggle to find new ones, some may become disheartened and stop looking. This leads to a drop in the labor force participation rate, and a potentially lower unemployment rate. Consider this hypothetical scenario:

Economic State Unemployment Rate Number of Discouraged Workers
Good Economy 4.0% 500,000
Recession 5.0% 1,500,000

In this simplified example, even though the number of discouraged workers has tripled during the recession, the unemployment rate may not fully reflect the deterioration in the labor market because these individuals are not counted as unemployed.

For a more in-depth understanding of labor force statistics and the definitions used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we encourage you to consult their official website. It’s a fantastic resource for accurate and detailed information.